Provisional Olympic quota list: Norway, Sweden, France in top-3, Germany is fighting for third place in both classifications

This year, the IOC and IBU changed the rules for obtaining quotas for the Olympic Games. Now only three nations will be able to have six participants each, and another seven countries from the top 10 Nations Cup - 5 athletes each. Next, as usual. However, the list of Wild Card participants was expanded to 12 athletes, previously there were 6. Thus, the maximum number of participants in the personal race is now: 92.

The IBU decided, due to the situation with Covid-19, to distribute places not according to the results of last season, but according to the results of the best races of the past + half of the current one. The 12 best races count towards the Nations Cup for the Olympics qualification, namely:

6 best Sprints
3 best relays
1 individual race
1 mixed relay
1 single mixed relay

This season there are 5 more races (Oberhof and Ruhpolding) that can count: 2 sprints, mixed relay, single mixed relay, and relay.

Men's qualification.

#   Country Score
1 Norway 4832
2 France 4627
3 Sweden 4338
4 Germany 4319
5 Russia 4173

France and Norway are out of reach for the rest of the teams. Now, in fact, only Sweden and Germany claim third place. Russia is 165 points behind, and this gap is unlikely to be reduced, although they had a very strong last sprint.

The gap between Sweden and Germany is 19 points. The most realistic chance for the Germans to come out ahead, is a mixed relay and a single mixed relay. The Germans have the best results there - 4th and 5th places. The Swedes have a victory and second place.

Also, the Germans have two third places in the relay, which can be improved. The Swedes, on the other hand, can only really improve their performance in the sprint.

The loser shouldn't be upset. Being able to nominate 5 athletes, and having one spare, is better than running four.

#   Country Score
6 Italy 3869
7 Austria 3710
8 Ukraine 3653
9 Belarus 3640
10 Czech Republic 3327
       
11 Slovenia 3251
12 Canada 3154

As for the struggle to get into the top 10, there is only a struggle between Slovenia and the Czech Republic, and the latter is still winning. But a gap of just 76 points is not much.

At the bottom of the table there is a small battle for 20th place, but it will likely remain that way.

13 Switzerland 3123
14 Finland 3045
15 USA 3003
16 Lithuania 2574
17 Belgium 2385
18 Bulgaria 2376
19 Slovakia 2203
20 Japan 2181
       
21 Estonia 2011
22 Latvia 1980
23 Romania 1869
24 Poland 1781
25 Kazakstan 1710
26 Moldova 1460
27 China 747

Estonia is unlikely to win back 170 points from Japan. Now the Estonians are on the decline, only 1 race out of 8 this season consider into their statistics. Japan, on the other hand, 5 out of 8 consider to statistics.

Latvia, in the absence of Rastorguevs, not any positive result of this season, was taken into quota list. Romania has seriously added in comparison with the previous season. They also had 10th place in the relay, and good results in the sprint. By the way, they are 23rd in qualification for the Olympics, but 20th in the Nations Cup this season. But the fact is that Romania has only two athletes in the participation for each race, while rivals have three. Two athletes will be enough to compete for a place in the top 23 of the Nations Cup (and get a quota of 3 athletes in the world cup), but it will probably not be enough to compete for a quota for the Olympics.

Women's qualification.

#   Country Score
1 Sweden 4630
3 Norway 4600
2 France 4416
4 Germany 4291
5 Belarus 4185

The same three as for men, but in a different order. Sweden and Norway have definitely secured six athletes. And although Germany, and even Belarus, have theoretical chances to catch France, but this is already from the fantasy.

France is performing very strongly this season. Germany can't get them, and Belarus was initially too far behind.

6 Russia 4113
7 Ukraine 3889
8 Italy 3805
9 Austria 3777
10 Czech Republic 3498
11 Switzerland 3451

Five athletes will have: Germany, Belarus, Russia, Ukraine, Italy, Austria, and someone from the Czech Republic or Switzerland. The Czechs are just 47 points ahead.

At the bottom of the table, there is no direct struggle for 20th place. The only question is whether the Chinese women will be able to get hold of Kazakhstan, which now ranks 20th with 2121 points. 

But Kazakhstan is just 42 points behind Bulgaria, and battle for 20th place between these nations.

12 USA 3123
13 Poland 2905
14 Canada 2887
15 Finland 2760
16 Estonia 2690
17 Japan 2278
18 Slovakia 2187
19 Bulgaria 2173
20 Kazakstan 2121
       
21 South Korea 1834
22 Slovenia 1828
23 China 1524
24 Latvia 1503
25 Romania 1288
26 Moldova 1279
27 Lithuania 1160
28 Belgium 1035

China scored 0 points last season, but the IBU allowed them to participate 4 athletes in each race. For 7 races this season, the Chinese scored 1524 points. For another 5 races, they may well gain another 600-700, and get the coveted quota of 4 sportsmen.

Wild Cards.

Another 12 athletes from the national teams who didn't make it into the top 20, can receive an invitation to the Olympics by Wild Card. Maximum 2 athletes from each country.

At the moment, for men it is:

Mikhail Usov (Moldova) - 44.02
Timofey Lapshin (Korea) - 47.20
Pavel Magazeev (Moldova) - 50.13
Maksim Makarov (Moldova) - 50.85
Grzegorz Guzik (Poland) - 51.50
Campbell Wright (New Zealand) - 51.95
Ermits Kalev (Estonia) - 58.31
Cornel Puchianu (Romania) - 59.04
Rene Zahkna (Estonia) - 61.95
Aleksandr Mukhin (Kazakhstan) - 61.99
George Coltea (Romania) - 64.35
Dmitryi Shamaev (Romania) - 67.04
Kresemir Crnkovic (Croatia) 68.55
Fangmin Cheng (China) - 69.87
Wengkwan Wang (China) - 99.29, but he is left this season.

For women, with a high degree of probability, China will enter the top 20 by mid-January, so Kazakhstan will drop to 21st place, and Chinese women will not need to allocate 2 places through the Wild card, as in men.

Baiba Bendika (Latvia) - 30.58
Galina Vishnevskaya (Kazakhstan) - 40.43
Tuuli Tomingas (Estonia) - 40.65
Johanna Taliharm (Estonia) - 47.49
Alina Stremous (Moldova) - 50.34
Lotte Lee (Belgium) - 53.05
Natalia Kochergina (Lithuania) - 55.39
Lena Rempic (Slovenia) - 57.38
Ekaterina Avvakumova (Korea) - 58.19
Uqalek Slettemark (Greenland) - 61.68
Lyudmila Akhatova (Kazakhstan) - 62.08
Anna Gilenko (Moldova) - 63.23
Regina Oja (Estonia) - 63.34
Anna Frolina (Korea) - 66.58
Polona Klemencic (Slovenia) - 69.47

Full list you can find here:

https://ibu.blob.core.windows.net/docs/2122/BT/SWRL/CP04/SWSP/C78O_v0.pdf

https://ibu.blob.core.windows.net/docs/2122/BT/SWRL/CP04/SMSP/C78O_v1.pdf

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Last change 2021-12-21
Created 2021-12-21
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World Cup, Hochfilzen
Time CET
08.12.2022 - 14:10 - Sprint, Women
09.12.2022 - 13:45 - Sprint, Men
10.12.2022 - 11:30 - Pursuit, Women
10.12.2022 - 13:40 - Relay 4x6, Men
11.12.2022 - 11:30 - Relay 4x7.5, Women
11.12.2022 - 14:15 - Pursuit, Men
#   Name Pts
1 Norway Thingnes Boe Johannes 209
2 Norway Holm Laegreid Sturla 190
3 Germany Roman Rees 155
4 Sweden Sebastian Samuelsson 145
5 Germany David Zobel 126
6 Switzerland Niklas Hartweg 124
7 Sweden Martin Ponsiluoma 123
8 France Emilien Jacquelin 118
9 Sweden Jesper Nelin 101
10 France Fabien Claude 94
11 Norway Sjastad Christiansen Vetle 92
12 Norway Filip Andersen 84
13 France Quentin Fillon Maillet 84
14 Lithuania Vytautas Strolia 83
15 Germany Benedikt Doll 80
16 Germany Justus Strelow 76
17 Norway Johannes Dale 61
18 Germany Johannes Kühn 56
19 Norway Tarjei Boe 55
20 Czech Michal Krcmar 55
21 Germany Philipp Nawrath 54
22 Finland Olli Hiidensalo 52
23 Slovenia Jakov Fak 52
24 Belgium Florent Claude 42
25 USA Sean Doherty 38
26 Ukraine Anton Dudchenko 34
27 Norway Erlend Bjoentegaard 31
28 Austria David Komatz 31
29 France Eric Perrot 27
30 Austria Simon Eder 23
#   Name Pts
1 Italy Lisa Vittozzi 185
2 France Julia Simon 160
3 Sweden Hanna Oeberg 144
4 Norway Landmark Tandrevold Ingrid 142
5 Austria Theresa Hauser Lisa 131
6 Sweden Karin Oeberg Elvira 121
7 Sweden Linn Persson 118
8 Canada Emma Lunder 116
9 Germany Vanessa Voigt 114
10 Italy Dorothea Wierer 110
11 Germany Denise Herrmann-wick 105
12 Czech Marketa Davidova 91
13 Germany Anna Weidel 84
14 Germany Sophia Schneider 82
15 France Caroline Colombo 74
16 Finland Mari Eder 63
17 Slovakia Paulina Bartovska Fialkova 60
18 Norway Ida Lien 59
19 Switzerland Elisa Gasparin 58
20 Belgium Lotte Lie 56
21 France Anais-Bouchet Chevalier 56
22 Switzerland Aita Gasparin 54
23 Norway Aagheim Kalkenberg Emilie 49
24 France Lou Jeanmonnot 45
25 Italy Rebecca Passler 44
26 Slovenia Polona Klemencic 43
27 Finland Suvi Minkkinen 41
28 Switzerland Lena Haecki Gross 41
29 Sweden Johanna Skottheim 40
30 Sweden Anna Magnusson 37
#   Nation Pts
1 Norway 1277.0
2 Germany 1215.0
3 France 1127.0
4 Sweden 1052.0
5 Czech Republic 948.0
6 Austria 942.0
7 Finland 917.0
8 Slovenia 908.0
9 Ukraine 869.0
10 Switzerland 793.0
11 Lithuania 780.0
12 USA 732.0
13 Italy 707.0
14 Romania 704.0
15 Canada 683.0
16 Estonia 647.0
17 Bulgaria 571.0
18 Poland 499.0
19 Kazakstan 455.0
20 Belgium 378.0
21 Moldova 376.0
22 Slovakia 340.0
23 Japan 293.0
24 New Zealand 194.0
25 Latvia 189.0
#   Nation Pts
1 Sweden 1245.0
2 Germany 1213.0
3 Norway 1123.0
4 France 1080.0
5 Switzerland 1029.0
6 Italy 989.0
7 Finland 958.0
8 Czech Republic 938.0
9 Austria 910.0
10 USA 814.0
11 Slovakia 750.0
12 Poland 745.0
13 Canada 732.0
14 Estonia 701.0
15 Ukraine 636.0
16 Bulgaria 578.0
17 Latvia 495.0
18 Slovenia 396.0
19 Japan 393.0
20 Romania 283.0
21 Lithuania 245.0
22 Belgium 244.0
23 Moldova 209.0
24 Kazakstan 206.0

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