Provisional Olympic quota list: Norway, Sweden, France in top-3, Germany is fighting for third place in both classifications

This year, the IOC and IBU changed the rules for obtaining quotas for the Olympic Games. Now only three nations will be able to have six participants each, and another seven countries from the top 10 Nations Cup - 5 athletes each. Next, as usual. However, the list of Wild Card participants was expanded to 12 athletes, previously there were 6. Thus, the maximum number of participants in the personal race is now: 92.

The IBU decided, due to the situation with Covid-19, to distribute places not according to the results of last season, but according to the results of the best races of the past + half of the current one. The 12 best races count towards the Nations Cup for the Olympics qualification, namely:

6 best Sprints
3 best relays
1 individual race
1 mixed relay
1 single mixed relay

This season there are 5 more races (Oberhof and Ruhpolding) that can count: 2 sprints, mixed relay, single mixed relay, and relay.

Men's qualification.

#   Country Score
1 Norway 4832
2 France 4627
3 Sweden 4338
4 Germany 4319
5 Russia 4173

France and Norway are out of reach for the rest of the teams. Now, in fact, only Sweden and Germany claim third place. Russia is 165 points behind, and this gap is unlikely to be reduced, although they had a very strong last sprint.

The gap between Sweden and Germany is 19 points. The most realistic chance for the Germans to come out ahead, is a mixed relay and a single mixed relay. The Germans have the best results there - 4th and 5th places. The Swedes have a victory and second place.

Also, the Germans have two third places in the relay, which can be improved. The Swedes, on the other hand, can only really improve their performance in the sprint.

The loser shouldn't be upset. Being able to nominate 5 athletes, and having one spare, is better than running four.

#   Country Score
6 Italy 3869
7 Austria 3710
8 Ukraine 3653
9 Belarus 3640
10 Czech Republic 3327
       
11 Slovenia 3251
12 Canada 3154

As for the struggle to get into the top 10, there is only a struggle between Slovenia and the Czech Republic, and the latter is still winning. But a gap of just 76 points is not much.

At the bottom of the table there is a small battle for 20th place, but it will likely remain that way.

13 Switzerland 3123
14 Finland 3045
15 USA 3003
16 Lithuania 2574
17 Belgium 2385
18 Bulgaria 2376
19 Slovakia 2203
20 Japan 2181
       
21 Estonia 2011
22 Latvia 1980
23 Romania 1869
24 Poland 1781
25 Kazakstan 1710
26 Moldova 1460
27 China 747

Estonia is unlikely to win back 170 points from Japan. Now the Estonians are on the decline, only 1 race out of 8 this season consider into their statistics. Japan, on the other hand, 5 out of 8 consider to statistics.

Latvia, in the absence of Rastorguevs, not any positive result of this season, was taken into quota list. Romania has seriously added in comparison with the previous season. They also had 10th place in the relay, and good results in the sprint. By the way, they are 23rd in qualification for the Olympics, but 20th in the Nations Cup this season. But the fact is that Romania has only two athletes in the participation for each race, while rivals have three. Two athletes will be enough to compete for a place in the top 23 of the Nations Cup (and get a quota of 3 athletes in the world cup), but it will probably not be enough to compete for a quota for the Olympics.

Women's qualification.

#   Country Score
1 Sweden 4630
3 Norway 4600
2 France 4416
4 Germany 4291
5 Belarus 4185

The same three as for men, but in a different order. Sweden and Norway have definitely secured six athletes. And although Germany, and even Belarus, have theoretical chances to catch France, but this is already from the fantasy.

France is performing very strongly this season. Germany can't get them, and Belarus was initially too far behind.

6 Russia 4113
7 Ukraine 3889
8 Italy 3805
9 Austria 3777
10 Czech Republic 3498
11 Switzerland 3451

Five athletes will have: Germany, Belarus, Russia, Ukraine, Italy, Austria, and someone from the Czech Republic or Switzerland. The Czechs are just 47 points ahead.

At the bottom of the table, there is no direct struggle for 20th place. The only question is whether the Chinese women will be able to get hold of Kazakhstan, which now ranks 20th with 2121 points. 

But Kazakhstan is just 42 points behind Bulgaria, and battle for 20th place between these nations.

12 USA 3123
13 Poland 2905
14 Canada 2887
15 Finland 2760
16 Estonia 2690
17 Japan 2278
18 Slovakia 2187
19 Bulgaria 2173
20 Kazakstan 2121
       
21 South Korea 1834
22 Slovenia 1828
23 China 1524
24 Latvia 1503
25 Romania 1288
26 Moldova 1279
27 Lithuania 1160
28 Belgium 1035

China scored 0 points last season, but the IBU allowed them to participate 4 athletes in each race. For 7 races this season, the Chinese scored 1524 points. For another 5 races, they may well gain another 600-700, and get the coveted quota of 4 sportsmen.

Wild Cards.

Another 12 athletes from the national teams who didn't make it into the top 20, can receive an invitation to the Olympics by Wild Card. Maximum 2 athletes from each country.

At the moment, for men it is:

Mikhail Usov (Moldova) - 44.02
Timofey Lapshin (Korea) - 47.20
Pavel Magazeev (Moldova) - 50.13
Maksim Makarov (Moldova) - 50.85
Grzegorz Guzik (Poland) - 51.50
Campbell Wright (New Zealand) - 51.95
Ermits Kalev (Estonia) - 58.31
Cornel Puchianu (Romania) - 59.04
Rene Zahkna (Estonia) - 61.95
Aleksandr Mukhin (Kazakhstan) - 61.99
George Coltea (Romania) - 64.35
Dmitryi Shamaev (Romania) - 67.04
Kresemir Crnkovic (Croatia) 68.55
Fangmin Cheng (China) - 69.87
Wengkwan Wang (China) - 99.29, but he is left this season.

For women, with a high degree of probability, China will enter the top 20 by mid-January, so Kazakhstan will drop to 21st place, and Chinese women will not need to allocate 2 places through the Wild card, as in men.

Baiba Bendika (Latvia) - 30.58
Galina Vishnevskaya (Kazakhstan) - 40.43
Tuuli Tomingas (Estonia) - 40.65
Johanna Taliharm (Estonia) - 47.49
Alina Stremous (Moldova) - 50.34
Lotte Lee (Belgium) - 53.05
Natalia Kochergina (Lithuania) - 55.39
Lena Rempic (Slovenia) - 57.38
Ekaterina Avvakumova (Korea) - 58.19
Uqalek Slettemark (Greenland) - 61.68
Lyudmila Akhatova (Kazakhstan) - 62.08
Anna Gilenko (Moldova) - 63.23
Regina Oja (Estonia) - 63.34
Anna Frolina (Korea) - 66.58
Polona Klemencic (Slovenia) - 69.47

Full list you can find here:

https://ibu.blob.core.windows.net/docs/2122/BT/SWRL/CP04/SWSP/C78O_v0.pdf

https://ibu.blob.core.windows.net/docs/2122/BT/SWRL/CP04/SMSP/C78O_v1.pdf

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Last change 2021-12-21
Created 2021-12-21
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WC, Antholz, Italy
Time CET
20.01.2022 - 14:15 - Individual, Men
21.01.2022 - 14:15 - Individual, Women
22.01.2022 - 12:50 - Mass start, Men
22.01.2022 - 15:00 - Relay, Women
23.01.2022 - 12:15 - Relay, Men
23.01.2022 - 15:15 - Mass start, Women
#   Name Pts
1 France Quentin Fillon Maillet 636
2 France Emilien Jacquelin 501
3 Norway Tarjei Boe 486
4 Sweden Sebastian Samuelsson 484
5 Norway Johannes Thingnes Boe 440
6 Norway Vetle Sjastad Christiansen 433
7 Norway Sturla Laegreid Holm 432
8 Russia Alexandr Loginov 413
9 France Simon Desthieux 409
10 Belarus Anton Smolski 404
11 Germany Benedikt Doll 361
12 France Fabien Claude 350
13 Russia Eduard Latypov 348
14 Finland Tero Seppala 313
15 Germany Johannes Kuhn 301
16 Norway Sivert Bakken Guttorm 277
17 Germany Roman Rees 264
18 Austria Simon Eder 264
19 Switzerland Benjamin Weger 249
20 France Antonin Guigonnat 240
21 Germany Erik Lesser 233
22 Italy Thomas Bormolini 226
23 Russia Said Khalili Karimulla 222
24 Italy Lukas Hofer 218
25 Austria Felix Leitner 216
26 Lithuania Vytautas Strolia 211
27 Germany Philipp Nawrath 209
28 Sweden Martin Ponsiluoma 203
29 Czech Michal Krcmar 199
30 Russia Daniil Serokhvostov 199
#   Name Pts
1 Norway Marte Olsbu Roeiseland 651
2 Sweden Elvira Oeberg Karin 563
3 Belarus Dzinara Alimbekava 535
4 Austria Lisa Theresa Hauser 483
5 Sweden Hanna Oeberg 482
6 Belarus Hanna Sola 410
7 France Justine Braisaz 385
8 Czech Marketa Davidova 372
9 France Anais Bescond 371
10 Italy Dorothea Wierer 370
11 France Julia Simon 361
12 France Anais-Bouchet Chevalier 359
13 Sweden Mona Brorsson 344
14 Russia Reztsova Kristina 323
15 Norway Ingrid Tandrevold 261
16 Germany Denise Herrmann 256
17 Russia Uliana Nigmatullina 251
18 Germany Vanessa Voigt 249
19 Czech Jessica Jislova 242
20 Sweden Linn Persson 228
21 Belgium Lotte Lie 199
22 Russia Svetlana Mironova 197
23 Sweden Anna Magnusson 197
24 Norway Tiril Eckhoff 191
25 Italy Lisa Vittozzi 182
26 Germany Vanessa Hinz 181
27 France Chloe Chevalier 173
28 Russia Irina Kazakevich 168
29 Germany Franziska Preuss 160
30 Finland Mari Eder 150
#   Nation Pts
1 Norway 4745.0
2 Russia 4671.0
2 France 4671.0
4 Germany 4414.0
5 Belarus 4008.0
6 Sweden 3799.0
7 Italy 3626.0
8 Ukraine 3615.0
9 Austria 3204.0
10 Switzerland 3101.0
11 Slovenia 2975.0
12 Czech Republic 2974.0
13 Canada 2949.0
14 Finland 2906.0
15 USA 2711.0
16 Lithuania 2179.0
17 Bulgaria 2082.0
18 Estonia 2032.0
19 Japan 2006.0
20 Belgium 1901.0
21 Slovakia 1711.0
22 Romania 1581.0
23 China 1515.0
24 Poland 1431.0
25 Kazakstan 1175.0
26 Latvia 1092.0
27 Moldova 1027.0
28 South Korea 607.0
29 New Zealand 563.0
30 Croatia 368.0
#   Nation Pts
1 France 5029.0
2 Sweden 4802.0
3 Norway 4745.0
4 Russia 4602.0
5 Belarus 4498.0
6 Germany 4477.0
7 Czech Republic 3933.0
8 Italy 3889.0
9 Ukraine 3755.0
10 Austria 3492.0
11 Switzerland 3330.0
12 Finland 3153.0
13 Estonia 2936.0
14 USA 2803.0
15 Poland 2783.0
16 China 2417.0
17 Canada 2291.0
18 Slovakia 2260.0
19 Kazakstan 2089.0
20 Japan 1897.0
21 Slovenia 1630.0
22 South Korea 1583.0
23 Bulgaria 1551.0
24 Romania 1489.0
25 Moldova 1307.0
26 Latvia 1248.0
27 Belgium 1007.0
28 Lithuania 663.0
29 United Kingdom 141.0
30 Greenland 112.0

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