Provisional Olympic quota list: Norway, Sweden, France in top-3, Germany is fighting for third place in both classifications

This year, the IOC and IBU changed the rules for obtaining quotas for the Olympic Games. Now only three nations will be able to have six participants each, and another seven countries from the top 10 Nations Cup - 5 athletes each. Next, as usual. However, the list of Wild Card participants was expanded to 12 athletes, previously there were 6. Thus, the maximum number of participants in the personal race is now: 92.

The IBU decided, due to the situation with Covid-19, to distribute places not according to the results of last season, but according to the results of the best races of the past + half of the current one. The 12 best races count towards the Nations Cup for the Olympics qualification, namely:

6 best Sprints
3 best relays
1 individual race
1 mixed relay
1 single mixed relay

This season there are 5 more races (Oberhof and Ruhpolding) that can count: 2 sprints, mixed relay, single mixed relay, and relay.

Men's qualification.

#   Country Score
1 Norway 4832
2 France 4627
3 Sweden 4338
4 Germany 4319
5 Russia 4173

France and Norway are out of reach for the rest of the teams. Now, in fact, only Sweden and Germany claim third place. Russia is 165 points behind, and this gap is unlikely to be reduced, although they had a very strong last sprint.

The gap between Sweden and Germany is 19 points. The most realistic chance for the Germans to come out ahead, is a mixed relay and a single mixed relay. The Germans have the best results there - 4th and 5th places. The Swedes have a victory and second place.

Also, the Germans have two third places in the relay, which can be improved. The Swedes, on the other hand, can only really improve their performance in the sprint.

The loser shouldn't be upset. Being able to nominate 5 athletes, and having one spare, is better than running four.

#   Country Score
6 Italy 3869
7 Austria 3710
8 Ukraine 3653
9 Belarus 3640
10 Czech Republic 3327
       
11 Slovenia 3251
12 Canada 3154

As for the struggle to get into the top 10, there is only a struggle between Slovenia and the Czech Republic, and the latter is still winning. But a gap of just 76 points is not much.

At the bottom of the table there is a small battle for 20th place, but it will likely remain that way.

13 Switzerland 3123
14 Finland 3045
15 USA 3003
16 Lithuania 2574
17 Belgium 2385
18 Bulgaria 2376
19 Slovakia 2203
20 Japan 2181
       
21 Estonia 2011
22 Latvia 1980
23 Romania 1869
24 Poland 1781
25 Kazakstan 1710
26 Moldova 1460
27 China 747

Estonia is unlikely to win back 170 points from Japan. Now the Estonians are on the decline, only 1 race out of 8 this season consider into their statistics. Japan, on the other hand, 5 out of 8 consider to statistics.

Latvia, in the absence of Rastorguevs, not any positive result of this season, was taken into quota list. Romania has seriously added in comparison with the previous season. They also had 10th place in the relay, and good results in the sprint. By the way, they are 23rd in qualification for the Olympics, but 20th in the Nations Cup this season. But the fact is that Romania has only two athletes in the participation for each race, while rivals have three. Two athletes will be enough to compete for a place in the top 23 of the Nations Cup (and get a quota of 3 athletes in the world cup), but it will probably not be enough to compete for a quota for the Olympics.

Women's qualification.

#   Country Score
1 Sweden 4630
3 Norway 4600
2 France 4416
4 Germany 4291
5 Belarus 4185

The same three as for men, but in a different order. Sweden and Norway have definitely secured six athletes. And although Germany, and even Belarus, have theoretical chances to catch France, but this is already from the fantasy.

France is performing very strongly this season. Germany can't get them, and Belarus was initially too far behind.

6 Russia 4113
7 Ukraine 3889
8 Italy 3805
9 Austria 3777
10 Czech Republic 3498
11 Switzerland 3451

Five athletes will have: Germany, Belarus, Russia, Ukraine, Italy, Austria, and someone from the Czech Republic or Switzerland. The Czechs are just 47 points ahead.

At the bottom of the table, there is no direct struggle for 20th place. The only question is whether the Chinese women will be able to get hold of Kazakhstan, which now ranks 20th with 2121 points. 

But Kazakhstan is just 42 points behind Bulgaria, and battle for 20th place between these nations.

12 USA 3123
13 Poland 2905
14 Canada 2887
15 Finland 2760
16 Estonia 2690
17 Japan 2278
18 Slovakia 2187
19 Bulgaria 2173
20 Kazakstan 2121
       
21 South Korea 1834
22 Slovenia 1828
23 China 1524
24 Latvia 1503
25 Romania 1288
26 Moldova 1279
27 Lithuania 1160
28 Belgium 1035

China scored 0 points last season, but the IBU allowed them to participate 4 athletes in each race. For 7 races this season, the Chinese scored 1524 points. For another 5 races, they may well gain another 600-700, and get the coveted quota of 4 sportsmen.

Wild Cards.

Another 12 athletes from the national teams who didn't make it into the top 20, can receive an invitation to the Olympics by Wild Card. Maximum 2 athletes from each country.

At the moment, for men it is:

Mikhail Usov (Moldova) - 44.02
Timofey Lapshin (Korea) - 47.20
Pavel Magazeev (Moldova) - 50.13
Maksim Makarov (Moldova) - 50.85
Grzegorz Guzik (Poland) - 51.50
Campbell Wright (New Zealand) - 51.95
Ermits Kalev (Estonia) - 58.31
Cornel Puchianu (Romania) - 59.04
Rene Zahkna (Estonia) - 61.95
Aleksandr Mukhin (Kazakhstan) - 61.99
George Coltea (Romania) - 64.35
Dmitryi Shamaev (Romania) - 67.04
Kresemir Crnkovic (Croatia) 68.55
Fangmin Cheng (China) - 69.87
Wengkwan Wang (China) - 99.29, but he is left this season.

For women, with a high degree of probability, China will enter the top 20 by mid-January, so Kazakhstan will drop to 21st place, and Chinese women will not need to allocate 2 places through the Wild card, as in men.

Baiba Bendika (Latvia) - 30.58
Galina Vishnevskaya (Kazakhstan) - 40.43
Tuuli Tomingas (Estonia) - 40.65
Johanna Taliharm (Estonia) - 47.49
Alina Stremous (Moldova) - 50.34
Lotte Lee (Belgium) - 53.05
Natalia Kochergina (Lithuania) - 55.39
Lena Rempic (Slovenia) - 57.38
Ekaterina Avvakumova (Korea) - 58.19
Uqalek Slettemark (Greenland) - 61.68
Lyudmila Akhatova (Kazakhstan) - 62.08
Anna Gilenko (Moldova) - 63.23
Regina Oja (Estonia) - 63.34
Anna Frolina (Korea) - 66.58
Polona Klemencic (Slovenia) - 69.47

Full list you can find here:

https://ibu.blob.core.windows.net/docs/2122/BT/SWRL/CP04/SWSP/C78O_v0.pdf

https://ibu.blob.core.windows.net/docs/2122/BT/SWRL/CP04/SMSP/C78O_v1.pdf

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Last change 2021-12-21
Created 2021-12-21
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World Cup, Holmenkollen
Time CET
17.03.2022 - 15:45 - Sprint, Women
18.03.2022 - 15:45 - Sprint, Men
19.03.2022 - 12:50 - Pursuit, Women
19.03.2022 - 15:00 - Pursuit, Men
20.03.2022 - 12:50 - Mass start, Women
20.03.2022 - 15:00 - Mass start, Men
#   Name Pts
1 France Quentin Fillon Maillet 816
2 France Emilien Jacquelin 591
3 Sweden Sebastian Samuelsson 564
4 Norway Sturla Laegreid Holm 543
5 Norway Vetle Sjastad Christiansen 533
6 Norway Tarjei Boe 517
7 France Simon Desthieux 490
8 Germany Benedikt Doll 455
9 Norway Johannes Thingnes Boe 440
10 Alexandr Loginov 413
11 Anton Smolski 404
12 Germany Johannes Kuhn 395
13 Finland Tero Seppala 393
14 Norway Sivert Bakken Guttorm 384
15 France Fabien Claude 382
16 Germany Roman Rees 357
17 Germany Erik Lesser 352
18 Eduard Latypov 348
19 Austria Simon Eder 332
20 Italy Lukas Hofer 325
21 France Antonin Guigonnat 297
22 Italy Thomas Bormolini 296
23 Norway Filip Andersen 288
24 Austria Felix Leitner 288
25 Switzerland Benjamin Weger 283
26 Germany Philipp Nawrath 282
27 Sweden Martin Ponsiluoma 273
28 Lithuania Vytautas Strolia 270
29 Czech Michal Krcmar 260
30 Said Khalili Karimulla 222
#   Name Pts
1 Norway Marte Olsbu Roeiseland 759
2 Sweden Elvira Oeberg Karin 665
3 Dzinara Alimbekava 589
4 Sweden Hanna Oeberg 586
5 Austria Lisa Theresa Hauser 552
6 Italy Dorothea Wierer 528
7 France Anais-Bouchet Chevalier 521
8 France Julia Simon 501
9 France Anais Bescond 471
10 France Justine Braisaz-bouchet 468
11 Germany Denise Herrmann 423
12 Czech Marketa Davidova 423
13 Hanna Sola 420
14 Germany Vanessa Voigt 407
15 Norway Tiril Eckhoff 373
16 Reztsova Kristina 366
17 Sweden Mona Brorsson 361
18 Norway Ingrid Tandrevold 358
19 Czech Jessica Jislova 351
20 Sweden Linn Persson 286
21 Uliana Nigmatullina 285
22 Germany Vanessa Hinz 254
23 Germany Franziska Preuss 232
24 France Chloe Chevalier 226
25 Belgium Lotte Lie 222
26 Norway Karoline Knotten Offigstad 209
27 Sweden Anna Magnusson 207
28 Sweden Stina Nilsson 197
29 Svetlana Mironova 197
30 Finland Mari Eder 196
#   Nation Pts
1 Norway 6429.0
2 France 6207.0
3 Germany 5941.0
4 Sweden 5075.0
5 Russia 5061.0
6 Italy 4872.0
7 Austria 4442.0
8 Switzerland 4333.0
9 Belarus 4208.0
10 Czech Republic 3988.0
11 Finland 3971.0
12 Slovenia 3953.0
13 Canada 3912.0
14 Ukraine 3905.0
15 USA 3748.0
16 Lithuania 3019.0
17 Japan 2875.0
18 Estonia 2845.0
19 Bulgaria 2754.0
20 Slovakia 2442.0
21 Romania 2220.0
22 Belgium 2216.0
23 Poland 2049.0
24 Kazakstan 1710.0
25 Latvia 1637.0
26 China 1515.0
27 Moldova 1410.0
28 South Korea 607.0
29 New Zealand 563.0
30 Croatia 368.0
#   Nation Pts
1 Sweden 6008.0
2 Norway 6002.0
3 France 5843.0
4 Germany 5660.0
5 Italy 4884.0
6 Czech Republic 4862.0
7 Russia 4602.0
8 Belarus 4498.0
9 Austria 4465.0
10 Switzerland 4298.0
11 Finland 3953.0
12 Ukraine 3863.0
13 Estonia 3731.0
14 USA 3724.0
15 Poland 3569.0
16 Slovakia 2994.0
17 Kazakstan 2769.0
18 Japan 2598.0
19 Canada 2484.0
20 China 2417.0
21 Slovenia 2071.0
22 Bulgaria 2022.0
23 Romania 1976.0
24 Latvia 1860.0
25 Moldova 1670.0
26 South Korea 1583.0
27 Belgium 1210.0
28 Lithuania 887.0
29 United Kingdom 141.0
30 Greenland 112.0

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